Update #2 12:15pm ET
Mortgage bonds continue to slide this afternoon giving back the earlier gains from this morning. Stocks and MBS have bounced around considerably between positive and negative territory this week and that trading pattern is unlikely to stop anytime soon. Equities are likely to continue to set the tone. As the US and global economies struggle, companies remain in trouble. Most see the domestic auto sector on its last legs and job losses continue to escalate. Unfortunately mortgage bonds are not seeing the same strong flight to quality buying that Treasuries are. The DOW is down around 26 points after being down over 200 points earlier this morning.
Oil fell below $50/barrel this morning, the lowest level since January 2007. Weekly jobless claims rose to 542,000, higher than the expected 505,000 mark.
Leading economic indicators fell 0.8%, weaker than the expected 0.6% decrease. Philadelphia Fed report fell 39.3, lower than the expected 35 decrease.
Following the Fed minutes yesterday afternoon the consensus remains that additional Fed cuts are on the way. The problem the Fed has is the fact that they are nearing the bottom of zero percent and will have to utilize other avenues to help stabilize the economy.
With so much uncertainty throughout the US and global economies, volatility is likely. Be cautious.